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公共交通换乘时间可靠度研究
引用本文:戴帅,姜华平,陈海泳,陈艳艳.公共交通换乘时间可靠度研究[J].公路交通科技,2007,24(9):124-126,135.
作者姓名:戴帅  姜华平  陈海泳  陈艳艳
作者单位:1. 北京工业大学,北京市交通工程重点实验室,北京,100022;山东交通学院,交通与物流工程系,山东,济南,250023
2. 山东交通学院,交通与物流工程系,山东,济南,250023
3. 北京工业大学,北京市交通工程重点实验室,北京,100022
基金项目:霍英东教育基金项目(104008),北京市自然科学基金项目(8062005),北京市教委重点项目(KZ200510005002)
摘    要:首先对国内公共交通换乘进行了分析,根据其存在问题,基于可靠度理论的研究,从不同角度对公共交通系统的换乘时间可靠度进行了分析,并建立了零距离换乘时间可靠度模型及非零距离换乘时间可靠度模型。最后,运用算例对换乘时间的变化对可靠度的影响规律进行验证,结果表明当平均换乘时间一定时,随着实际换乘时间的增加,换乘可靠度是降低的;而实际换乘时间是一定时,随着平均换乘时间的降低,换乘时间可靠度递增,且增幅加大。

关 键 词:交通工程  公共交通  换乘  可靠度
文章编号:1002-0268(2007)09-0124-03
修稿时间:2006-04-24

Study on Transfer Reliability of Integrated Public Transport
DAI Shuai,JIANG Hua-ping,CHEN Hai-yong,CHEN Yan-yan.Study on Transfer Reliability of Integrated Public Transport[J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2007,24(9):124-126,135.
Authors:DAI Shuai  JIANG Hua-ping  CHEN Hai-yong  CHEN Yan-yan
Institution:1. Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering (Beijing University of Technology
Abstract:The transfer of public transit in domestic is analyzed.Based on the existing issues and the reliability theory,transfer time reliability of public transportation has been analyzed from different points,the models of zero distance transfer reliability and non-zero distance transfer reliability have been made.Numerical experiment is presented to validate the influence rule of transfer time's change to the reliability of public transportation.The result shows that,when the average transfer time is fixed,transfer reliability will decrease with the increase of actual transfer time;while the actual transfer time is fixed,transfer reliability will increase with the reduction of average transfer time,and the amplitude will increase.
Keywords:traffic engineering  public transport  transfer  reliability
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