破坏概率分析方法在滑坡稳定性研究中的应用

综述了破坏概率分析方法的基本原理及其在滑坡稳定性分析中的实施方法,分析了重庆市万州区吴家湾滑坡的成因机制,计算了现状条件下和库水位上升时滑坡体的破坏概率,现状条件下滑坡的破坏概率为49.8%,为中等危险性。当库水位上升至175m时,滑坡的破坏概率为96.7%,处于不安全状态,由此可知对滑坡进行治理是十分必要的。

Destruction probability analysis method in landslide investigation into stability application

Summarized the destruction probability analysis method basic principle and in the landslide stability analysis implementation method, has analyzed Chongqing Wan Zhouqu Wu Jiawan the landslide origin mechanism, has calculated under when the present situation condition and the storehouse water level rise the landside mass destruction probability, under the present situation condition the landslide destruction probability is 49.8%, is the medium risk. When storehouse water level rise to 175m, the landslide destruction probability is 96.7%, is at the secure state, thus it may be known carries on the government to the landslide is extremely essential.