城市轨道交通运营风险辨识方法与应用

风险辨识是风险评价和风险管控的基础,为更加科学准确地做好轨道交通运营风险辨识,结合南京地铁风险辨识过程、全体员工参与辨识的现状,综合国内外辨识方法,整理出3种易于理解和操作的方法:事故倒推法、事件树分析法、工作流程分析法。详细介绍各方法原理和操作步骤,并用层次分析法对辨识方法进行选择,然后各职能部门按照选择的最优辨识方法进行风险辨识。最后以站务为例,分析得出事故倒推法具有最大的权重,运用该方法进行风险辨识取得了较满意的结果。

Risk Identification Method and Its Application to Urban Rail Transit Operation

Risk identification is the basis of risk assessment and risk control.In order to make the risk identification of the rail transit more scientific and accurate,we put forward three methods which are easier to be understood and operated based on the process of risk identification,and the present situation of all the staff involved in the identification of Nanjing Subway,and summarizing the identification methods at home and abroad.We also introduced the principles and operation steps in details,and used the AHP method to select the appropriate risk identification method.Then the departments carried out the risk identification with the optimal method they selected.Finally,the station center is cited as an example to conclude that the accident backward method has the greatest weight,which can achieve a satisfactory risk identification result.