迎接中国汽车市场“第6次扩张期”

中国汽车市场是按波动规律发展的，30年来已发生了5次波动。文章采用“车市波动分析法”研究中国汽车市场发展趋势后认为：2009年上半年车市走出“谷底”，下半年平稳回升，结束“第5次波动期”，2010年中国车市进入“第6次扩张期”。文章阐述了“第6次扩张期”的新特点和新要求，并提出了加强宏观调控，使车市按波动规律稳健快步发展的新思路。

Facing up to "the 6th Expanding Period" of China' s Automobile Market

In the light of the fluctuation rules, China＇s automobile market has experienced five fluctuations. With the help of＂Automobile Fluctuation Analysis Method＂ and after researching on the developing trend of China＇s automobile market, this paper comes to a conclusion： the automobile market in the first half of 2009 will come out of the ＂valley bottom＂ and in the second half of 2009, the market will recover smoothly and ＂the 5th fluctuation period＂ will come to an end. However, the market has to face up to ＂the 6th expanding period＂ in 2010. This paper introduces the new characteristics and new requirements of＂the 6th expanding period＂ and tells us that we should enforce the macro-control so as to facilitate a steady and rapid growth of China＇s automobile market according to the fluctuation rules.