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The potential mitigation of CO2 emissions via modal substitution of high-speed rail for short-haul air travel from a life cycle perspective – An Australian case study
Institution:1. Transportation Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 790 Atlantic Drive, Atlanta, GA 30332, United States;2. Delta Air Lines, TechOps, Dept 578 Fleet Engineering, 1776 M H Jackson Service Rd, Atlanta, GA 30354, United States;1. Applied Economics & Management Research Group, University of Seville, Spain;2. Facultad de Ciencias y Tecnologías Químicas, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Spain;1. Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Faculty of Sciences, IGEAT, Av. Franklin D. Roosevelt 50, box 130/03, 1050 Brussels, Belgium;2. Université Libre de Bruxelles, European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES & SBS-EM), Avenue Franklin Roosevelt 50, CP 114/04, 1050 Brussels, Belgium;3. The Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel-Aviv University, P.O.B 39040, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel;4. Oxford University, School of Geography and the Environment, Transport Studies Unit, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK;1. City and Regional Planning, Knowlton School of Architecture, The Ohio State University, 275 West Woodruff Avenue, Columbus, OH 43210, USA;2. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, No.15 ZhongGuanCunBeiYiTiao Alley, Haidian District, Beijing 100190, China;3. Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, 3710 McClintock Ave, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA;4. School of Policy, Government and International Affairs, George Mason University, 3351 Fairfax Drive, Arlington, VA 22201, USA
Abstract:The objective of this study is to provide a strategic evaluation of the mitigation of CO2 emissions via modal substitution of high-speed rail for short-haul air travel on the Sydney–Melbourne, Australia city-pair from a life cycle perspective. It has been demonstrated that when considering CO2 emissions from vehicle operations, the modal shift from air to high-speed rail on this city-pair has the potential to provide a means of CO2 mitigation. However, uncertainty exists with regard to the level of mitigation potential when considering the whole-of-life performance of the systems. Given the significant difference in the infrastructure requirements between the air mode and the high-speed rail mode, this study quantifies the life cycle CO2 load attributable to each system and examines the effect on CO2 mitigation potential. The study concluded that while the inclusion of the linehaul infrastructure did increase the CO2 load associated with high-speed rail mode, it did not equate to or exceed the CO2 load per trip as experienced by the air mode. The avoided annual life cycle CO2 emission in the target year 2056 was 0.37 Mt representing an 18% reduction when compared to the air mode only on the city pair. In fact, the scenario comparison indicated that the substitution of high-speed rail for short-haul air travel on the city pair resulted in CO2 emissions avoidance throughout the longitudinal period.
Keywords:Short-haul air travel  High-speed rail  Modal shift  Life cycle assessment
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