Will a driving restriction policy reduce car trips?—The case study of Beijing,China |
| |
| Institution: | 1. China Academy of Public Finance and Public Policy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China;2. National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;3. Department of Energy Economics, School of Economics at Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;1. MOE Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China;2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332, USA;3. Institute of Urban Transport Planning, China Academy of Urban Planning and Design, Beijing 100037, China;4. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322-4110, USA;5. Operations Section, Hangzhou MTR Corporation Limited, Hangzhou 310000, China;1. Connecticut College, United States;2. University of California at Davis, United States;3. Occidental College, United States;1. College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China;2. School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China;3. Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China;1. College of Environmental Science & Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China;2. College of Urban Transportation, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China;3. Department of Energy Economics, School of Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China;4. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, USA, and Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business, Beijing, China;1. Department of Civil Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;2. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY, USA;3. School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China |
| |
| Abstract: | A driving restriction policy, as one of the control-and-command rationing measures, is a politically acceptable policy tool to address traffic congestion and air pollution in some countries and cities in the world. Beijing is the first city in China to implement this policy. A one-day-a-week driving restriction scheme was expected to take 20% of cars off the road every week day. Using household survey and travel diary data, we analyze the short-term effect of this driving restriction policy on individual travel mode choice. The data also allow us to identify which demographic groups are more likely to break the restriction rule. The estimates reveal that the restriction policy in Beijing does not have significant influence on individuals’ decisions to drive, as compared with the policy’s influence on public transit. The rule-breaking behavior is constant and pervasive. We found that 47.8% of the regulated car owners didn’t follow the restriction rules, and drove “illegally” to their destination places. On average, car owners who traveled during peak hours and/or for work trips, and whose destinations were farther away from the city center or subway stations, were more likely to break the driving restriction rules. Therefore, Beijing is probably in need of more comprehensive and palatable policy instruments (e.g., a combination of congestion tolls, parking fees, fuel taxes, and high-speed transit facilities) to effectively alleviate traffic congestion and air pollution. |
| |
| Keywords: | Driving restriction policy Short term effect Mode choice Rule breaker Beijing |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ |
|
