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公路交通投资与经济增长的关系
引用本文:孙斌,邹国平,俞礼军.公路交通投资与经济增长的关系[J].公路,2011(4):123-128.
作者姓名:孙斌  邹国平  俞礼军
作者单位:1. 江西赣粤高速公路股份有限公司,南昌市,330025
2. 华南理工大学土木交通学院,广州市,510640
基金项目:江西省科技计划项目资助,项目编号200721; 中央高校科研基本科研业务费资助
摘    要:区域公路交通投资与经济增长之间相互影响的课题是交通领域中未解决的问题之一.基于格兰杰因果关系检验的基本原理与回归分析方法建立数学模型研究区域公路交通投资与经济增长之间的内在依存关系.经济发展的不同阶段,区域的公路交通投资与GDP总量之间均存在着互为因果关系.相同阶段经济增长与公路交通投资的相互之间推动作用不同.1978...

关 键 词:公路交通投资  国内生产总值  因果关系  回归分析

Research on Causal Relationship Between Highway Transoport Investment and Economic Growth
SUN Bin,ZOU Guo-ping,YU Li-jun.Research on Causal Relationship Between Highway Transoport Investment and Economic Growth[J].Highway,2011(4):123-128.
Authors:SUN Bin  ZOU Guo-ping  YU Li-jun
Institution:SUN Bin1,ZOU Guo-ping1,YU Li-jun2(1.Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway Co.Ltd.,Nanchang 330025,China,2.School of Civil Engineering and Transportation,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510641,China)
Abstract:One of the major unresolved research issues in transport is the question as to whether transport infrastructure investment promotes economic growth or economic growth impacts highway transport infrastructure investment at the regional and local levels.Using the concept of Granger-causality,the finding herein suggest that the economic growth and highway transport investment is the Granger-causality each other.The regression analysis models are applied to analyze the relationship between highway transport inv...
Keywords:highway transport investment  GDP  causality  regression analysis  
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