| 江淮气旋大风预报研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨良华.江淮气旋大风预报研究[J].交通部上海船舶运输科学研究所学报,1995,18(2):54-64. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨良华 |
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| 摘 要： | 江淮气旋大风预报研究的结果表明：气旋大风的预报实际上就是冷空气南下造成地面加压与气旋东移造成地面降压，这两个因素所造成气压梯度发展变化地以预报。还介绍用天气学原理建立的大风预报模式，以及用数理统计方法判别有无强风的预报，经过历史拟合和试报，在预报气旋大风中有一定的准确性。
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| 关 键 词： | 天气预报模型 温带气旋 大风 预报 航海气象学 |
The Forecast Research of Cyclone Gale in Jianghuai Region |
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| Authors: | Yang Lianghua |
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| Institution: | Yang Lianghua |
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| Abstract: | The result of the forecast research of Jianghuai cyclone gale indicated that the forecasting cyclone gale is to predict the variation of barometric pressure gradient caused by the pressure increase on the ground generated by South advancing cool air and the pressure decrease on the ground created by east moving cyclone.The gale prediction model based on synoptic meterology principle and the prediction for whether or not gale occurs by mathe metical statistics are introduced in the paper.A certain accuray of forecasting cyclone gale has been attained via historic fairing and test prediction. |
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| Keywords: | Weather forecast model strength in peak region cold advection warm advection barometric pressure gradient forcast index coding |
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