| 基于统计推理的舰炮武器防空目标威胁评估模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 毛超,邱志明,刘忠,卢发兴.基于统计推理的舰炮武器防空目标威胁评估模型[J].武汉水运工程学院学报,2014(1):107-110. |
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| 作者姓名： | 毛超 邱志明 刘忠 卢发兴 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]海军工程大学管理工程系,武汉430033 [2]海军装备研究院系统所,北京100073 [3]海军工程大学电子工程学院,武汉430033 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖北省自然科学基金项目资助（批准号：2009CDB274） |
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| 摘 要： | 针对舰炮武器系统防空威胁评估的特点，建立了一种属性值为区间数且属性权重完全未知，指挥员对方案具有主观偏好的偏差最小化不确定多属性决策方法。利用隶属度函数，获得传感器对目标隶属度函数值的统计推断区间，构成区间数决策矩阵。综合考虑多传感器网络获取的目标属性值数据和指挥员基于经验的主观偏好信息，建立了偏差最小化的多属性决策方法。通过防空目标威胁估计实例说明了该方法的实用性和有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统工程 威胁评估 舰炮防空 统计推断区间 方案偏好 |
Ship Borne Gunfire Aerial Targets T hreat Evaluation Based on Statistical Inference |
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| Authors: | MAO Chao QIU Zhiming LIU Zhong LU Faxing |
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| Institution: | 1 Department of Management Science, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China;2 System Division, Naval Equipment Institute, Beijing 100073, China;3 Institute of Electronic Engineering, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan 430033, China) |
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| Abstract: | According to the function and characters of air defense using the ship borne guns ,a kind of minimum deflection indetermination MADM method with the attribute value of interzone data ,completely unknown attrib-ute weighing and the subjective bias towards projects of the commander is presented .Membership functions are given .With the measured data of the sensors ,the attribute statistical inference intervals are given as the elements of the decision matrix .Considering synthetically the object attribute data of the objects from the sensors net and the subjective bias to objects of commander ,a minimum deflection indetermination MADM method is set up .Fi-nally ,a numerical example of aerial defense object threat assessment is given to show the rationality and effec-tiveness of the method . |
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| Keywords: | system engineering threat evaluation ship borne gun defense statistical inference interval object bi-as degree |
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