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Development of destination choice models for pedestrian travel
Institution:1. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Portland State University, PO Box 751 – CEE, Portland, OR 97207-0751, United States;2. School of Architecture & Urban Planning, University of Wisconsin – Milwaukee, PO Box 413, Milwaukee, WI 53201, United States;1. Department of Civil and Architectural Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong (SAR), PR China;2. MTR Corporation Limited, MTR Headquarter Building, Telford Plaza, 33 Wai Yip Street, Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong (SAR), PR China;1. Civil & Environmental Engineering Department, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA;2. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toronto, Canada;3. Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, 12800 Pegasus Drive, Room 301D, Orlando, FL 32816, USA;4. Southern California Association of Governments, 818 W. Seventh Street, 12th Floor, Los Angeles, CA 90017, USA;1. Transport and Roads, Department of Technology and Society, Lund University, PO 118, 221 00 Lund, Sweden;2. Department of Architecture and Built Environment, Lund University, PO 118, 221 00 Lund, Sweden;3. Environmental Psychology, Department of Architecture and Built Environment, Lund University, PO 118, 221 00 Lund, Sweden;1. 3 Revolutions Future Mobility Program, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California at Davis, One Shields Avenue, Ghausi Hall, Davis, CA 95616, USA;2. Department of Civil Engineering and Environmental Engineering, Sustainable Freight Research Center, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California at Davis, One Shields Avenue, Ghausi Hall 3143, Davis, CA 95616, USA;1. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Department of Architectural Studies, University of Missouri – Columbia, E 3507 Lafferre Hall, Columbia, MO 65211, United States;2. Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, 12800 Pegasus Drive, Orlando, FL 32816, United States
Abstract:Most research on walking behavior has focused on mode choice or walk trip frequency. In contrast, this study is one of the first to analyze and model the destination choice behaviors of pedestrians within an entire region. Using about 4500 walk trips from a 2011 household travel survey in the Portland, Oregon, region, we estimated multinomial logit pedestrian destination choice models for six trip purposes. Independent variables included terms for impedance (walk trip distance), size (employment by type, households), supportive pedestrian environments (parks, a pedestrian index of the environment variable called PIE), barriers to walking (terrain, industrial-type employment), and traveler characteristics. Unique to this study was the use of small-scale destination zone alternatives. Distance was a significant deterrent to pedestrian destination choice, and people in carless or childless households were less sensitive to distance for some purposes. Employment (especially retail) was a strong attractor: doubling the number of jobs nearly doubled the odds of choosing a destination for home-based shopping walk trips. More attractive pedestrian environments were also positively associated with pedestrian destination choice after controlling for other factors. These results shed light on determinants of pedestrian destination choice behaviors, and sensitivities in the models highlight potential policy-levers to increase walking activity. In addition, the destination choice models can be applied in practice within existing regional travel demand models or as pedestrian planning tools to evaluate land use and transportation policy and investment scenarios.
Keywords:Walking  Pedestrians  Destination choice  Travel behaviors  Built environment  Active transportation
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