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机动车驾驶员人为因素与交通事故危害性关联分析
引用本文:敖谷昌,杨利.机动车驾驶员人为因素与交通事故危害性关联分析[J].重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版),2010,29(1):121-124.
作者姓名:敖谷昌  杨利
作者单位:重庆交通大学,交通运输学院,重庆,400074;重庆交通科研设计院,重庆,400067
基金项目:国家山区公路工程技术研究中心开放基金项目(CCRDI-QJ-12.11)
摘    要:机动车驾驶员人为因素是导致道路交通事故形成,并产生事故伤害的最主要原因。将区域道路交通事故的死亡人数、伤亡人数和直接经济损失等统计指标值作为参考数列,将不同驾驶员人为因素组成的道路交通事故统计次数作为比较数列,可以建立驾驶员人为事故因素与其危害性的灰色关联模型。结合实例,通过对灰色关联矩阵的定量化结果进行分析,可以评价驾驶员人为因素对不同类型事故危害性的影响,为有关部门采取有效的安全管理和预防对策提供参考依据。

关 键 词:道路交通事故  机动车驾驶员  灰色关联  事故危害性  事故因素

Correlation Analysis on Driver's Human Factors and Accident Hazard in Road Traffic Accidents
AO Gu-chang,YANG Li.Correlation Analysis on Driver's Human Factors and Accident Hazard in Road Traffic Accidents[J].Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University,2010,29(1):121-124.
Authors:AO Gu-chang  YANG Li
Institution:1. School of Traffic & Transportation;Chongqing Jiaotong University;Chongqing 400074;China;2. Chongqing Communications Research & Design Institute;Chongqing 400067;China
Abstract:The vehicle driver’s human factor is one of the most important aspects in road traffic accidents trigger and formation. In order to analyze the relations between the driver’s human factors and the accident hazard,the statistical indicators of regional road traffic accidents,including death number,casualties,and direct economic losses etc. ,are utilized as the referential sequences; the statistical number of road accidents caused by vehicle driver’s human factors is taken as the comparison sequence; and then the grey relation model between the vehicle driver’s human factors and the accident hazard can be established. And combination with the case studies,the human factor of vehicle driver’s influence on the extent of accident hazard caused by different types of road traffic can be identified and evaluated,which is based on quantitative analysis on gray relational matrix. The results can provide references for the corresponding departments to take more effective safety management and prevention measures.
Keywords:road traffic accidents  vehicle drivers  grey relational analysis  accident hazard  reason for accidents  
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