江西全要素生产率与经济增长的实证分析

采用超越对数生产函数计算分析了江西经济的全要素综合生产率的变动状况和趋势.通过实证分析得出,改革开放后,江西省全要素生产率在逐步提高,但经济增长仍然主要依靠资本投入,经济增长方式仍然属于粗放型主导型经济增长.进一步研究江西省经济增长波动与全要素生产率的关系表明:经济增长波动的绝对幅度越大,生产率增长率则越小;反之经济增长波动的绝对幅度越小,全要素生产率增长率则越高.因此,应加强科技投入,促进技术进步,不断提高经济的增长的质量,同时也应注重经济增长的稳定性,实现资源的有效配置和经济的可持续增长.

Case Analysis of Jiangxi Total Factor Productivity and Economy Growth

The author used Super-logarithmic production function to calculate and analyze the fluctuation as well as the trend of total factor productivity(TFP) of Jiangxi economy.The case analysis reached a conclusion that Jiangxi's TFP had improved gradually since China began reform and open policy,but economic growthstill mainly depended on capital input,so still belongs to roughly growing economy.The further study shows that the larger extent of the absolute economic growth,the less the TFP growth rate is.Therefore,we have to pay more attention to science and technology input,promote technological progress,meanwhile attaching more importance to the stability of economic growth to realize effective resource allocation and sustain economy increase.