| 蒙特卡洛法在发耐斜坡稳定性评价中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 贾鹏云,杜宇.蒙特卡洛法在发耐斜坡稳定性评价中的应用[J].路基工程,2010,0(2):127-129. |
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| 作者姓名： | 贾鹏云 杜宇 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地质大学武汉工程学院, 武汉 430074 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章介绍了蒙特卡洛方法,并将其应用于发耐斜坡的稳定性评价之中。分析了模拟次数,抗剪强度参数的相关性对于斜坡破坏概率的影响。计算结果表明,发耐滑坡虽然稳定性系数均值大于1.1,但滑带参数具有较大的波动性,其破坏概率高达28.3%,应尽快进行治理,以策安全。
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| 关 键 词： | 蒙特卡洛法 破坏概率 相关性分析 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019-10-17 |
Application of Monte-Carlo Method in Evaluation of Fanai Slope Stability |
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| Authors: | JIA Peng-yun DU Yu |
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| Institution: | (School of Engineering , China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper first introduces Monte-Carlo method and applies it in evaluation of Fanai slope stability.It analyzes the influence of simulation times and correlation of shearing resistance on slope destruction probability.Calculation result indicates that although the average stability coefficient of Fanai landslide is greater than 1.1,its sliding parameter is under large fluctuation and its destruction probability is as high as 28.3%;therefore,it shall be treated as soon as possible for safety. |
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| Keywords: | Monte-Carlo method destruction probability correlation analysis |
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