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考虑旅客选择行为的高铁席位动态控制策略
引用本文:闫振英,韩宝明,李晓娟,赵亚琼.考虑旅客选择行为的高铁席位动态控制策略[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2019,19(1):118-124.
作者姓名:闫振英  韩宝明  李晓娟  赵亚琼
作者单位:北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044;内蒙古大学交通学院内蒙古自治区城市交通数据科学及应用工程技术研究中心,呼和浩特010070;北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京,100044;内蒙古大学交通学院内蒙古自治区城市交通数据科学及应用工程技术研究中心,呼和浩特,010070
基金项目:国家自然科学基金/National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1434207);内蒙古自治区自然科学基金/Inner Mongolia Natural Science Foundation(2017BS0501);内蒙古自治区高等学校科学研究项目/Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region University Scientific Research Project(NJZY18012).
摘    要:利用基于选择行为的网络收益管理原理研究高铁席位动态控制策略.首先,针对多列车多停站的高铁网络建立考虑旅客选择行为的席位控制动态规划模型.然后,设计两阶段控制机制:第一,采用近似动态规划技术,对价值函数进行线性近似,设计策略迭代算法离线获得时间依赖的投标价格;第二,采用能够描述多种选择行为机理的马尔科夫链选择模型刻画旅客选择行为,将投标价格作为输入参数,在线运行品类优化算法获得实时控制策略.最后以京沪高铁为背景设计仿真实验,结果表明该机制在需求水平较低时能够明显改善收益,且保护长途票额.该机制不仅可获得实时动态控制策略,而且通用性好,还可利用历史数据进行参数学习与更新,实现更为精细地连续优化.

关 键 词:铁路运输  收益管理  近似动态规划  存量控制  马尔科夫链选择模型
收稿时间:2018-08-08

Choice-based Dynamic Control Policy of Seat Inventory for High-speed Rail Transportation
YAN Zhen-ying,HAN Bao-ming,LI Xiao-juan,ZHAO Ya-qiong.Choice-based Dynamic Control Policy of Seat Inventory for High-speed Rail Transportation[J].Transportation Systems Engineering and Information,2019,19(1):118-124.
Authors:YAN Zhen-ying  HAN Bao-ming  LI Xiao-juan  ZHAO Ya-qiong
Institution:1. School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China; 2. Inner Mongolia Engineering Research Center for Urban Transportation Data Science and Applications, Transportation Institute, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot 010070, China
Abstract:Dynamic seat inventory control strategy for high-speed rail passenger transportation is studied with choice- based network revenue management theory. Firstly, the dynamic programming model of seat inventory control for high- speed rail network with multi- trains and multi- stops is established. Secondly, two- stage seat inventory control mechanism is designed. At the offline stage, the value function is approximated linearly with approximate dynamic programming technique, and the time- dependent bid price is obtained with the policy iterative algorithm. At the online stage, the bid price is taken as the input parameter, and the real time control strategy is obtained by the assortment optimization algorithm of the Markov Chain Choice Model. Finally, simulation experiments with different parameters were carried out under the background of Beijing-Shanghai highspeed railway. The results show that the strategy optimization mechanism can improve the profit significantly and protect long distance tickets when the demand level is low. This mechanism not only provide dynamic seat control stagey with better generality, but also can use historical data to get learning bid price and choice parameters and achieve continuous dynamic optimization.
Keywords:railway transportation  revenue management  approximate dynamic programming  capacity control  Markov Chain Choice Model  
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