轨道交通枢纽换乘乘客到站时间均值特征研究

换乘乘客到站时间分布是决定换乘乘客平均候车时间，优化并制定公交协调调度策略和方案的关键性因素。首先，选取世界之窗地铁换乘枢纽为调查地点，分高峰和平峰时段分别调查换乘乘客到站时间、送客车辆发车间隔等。然后，根据均值间差异的显著性分析和方差分析确定影响换乘乘客到站时间均值的因素。基于此，应用回归分析建立换乘乘客到站时间均值的模型。研究结果表明：高峰时段和平峰时段换乘乘客到站时间均值有很大的差异，且高峰时段换乘乘客到站时间均值是换乘客流量的二次函数，而平峰时段换乘乘客到站时间均值不受换乘乘客客流量大小的影响。

Means Characteristics of Transfer Passenger Arrival Time at Rail Transit Station

The distribution of transfer passenger arrival time is the key factor for determining the transfer passenger average waiting time, optimizing and bringing forward the bus coordinated dispatching strategy and scheme. Firstly, taking World Window intermodal transfer station in Shenzhen as the survey field, the transfer passengers arrival time and departing time interval of rail transit and so on were surveyed in the level hour and the peak hour respectively. Secondly, the factors affecting on the means of transfer passenger arrival time were distinguished by the level of significance of the difference between means and the analysis of variance. Given this, the model of the means of transfer passenger arrival time was put out using the regression analysis. The re- sult indicated that the means of the transfer passenger arrival time between the level hours and the peak hours had great difference, the means of transfer passenger arrival time in the peak hours was the quadratic function of the transfer passenger volume and the transfer passenger volume had no effect on the means of transfer passenger arrival time in the level hours.