| 基于效用的目标分配贝叶斯风险决策模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王鹏,王政委,王金山,沈浮.基于效用的目标分配贝叶斯风险决策模型研究[J].舰船电子工程,2012,32(11):87-89. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王鹏 王政委 王金山 沈浮 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 陆军军官学院基础部,合肥,230031
2. 解放军蚌埠汽车士官学校,蚌埠,233011 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过建立的贝叶斯风险决策模型并进行案例分析，将贝叶斯决策理论运用到战场目标分配决策分析中，结果表明运用贝叶斯风险可以提高决策的准确程度，降低了决策的风险程度，证明了决策模型具有实用性和有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 目标分配 效用理论 贝叶斯风险决策 |
Research of Optimum Target Assignment Risk Decision Based on Utility Theory and Bayes Theory |
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| WANG Peng,WANG Zhengwei,WANG Jinshan,SHEN Fu.Research of Optimum Target Assignment Risk Decision Based on Utility Theory and Bayes Theory[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2012,32(11):87-89. |
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| Authors: | WANG Peng WANG Zhengwei WANG Jinshan SHEN Fu |
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| Institution: | 1(1.Army Officer Academy of PLA,Hefei 230031)(2.Bengbu Automobile N.C.O Academy of PLA,Bengbu 233011) |
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| Abstract: | The paper focuses on optimum target assignment risk based on utility theory and Byes theory. At first, thesis analyzes the characteristics and risk in target assignment. Secondly,it presents the utility function about risk-averse decision- makers. Combing with Bayes method, the paper sets up the model which can be used to calculate the optimum assignment of target. The decision rule is minimums of Bayes risk. |
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| Keywords: | assignment of target utility theory risk decision based on Bayes theory |
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