| 基于出行时间的城市交通出行结构估算模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘智丽,線凯,王方,陈金川.基于出行时间的城市交通出行结构估算模型[J].道路交通与安全,2009(3):9-12,24. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘智丽 線凯 王方 陈金川 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 [2]北京交通发展研究中心,北京100055 |
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| 基金项目： | 交通工程北京市重点实验室(北京工业大学)开放课题基金资助; 北京市优秀人才培养资助(20071A1100700389); “十一五”国家科技支撑计划重点课题(2006BAJ18B01) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以北京市相关工作过程为例，介绍了城市交通出行结构传统估算方法的应用，提出了基于熵理论以及出行时间的城市交通出行结构估算模型，给出了模型算法，并以实例演示了模型应用与结果分析过程，最后总结了模型的优势与尚待深入研究的问题。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通出行结构 熵理论 出行时间 |
An Estimation Model for Transport Modal Share Based on Travel Time |
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| Liu Zhili,Xian Kai,Wang Fang,Chen Jinchuan.An Estimation Model for Transport Modal Share Based on Travel Time[J].Road Traffic & Safety,2009(3):9-12,24. |
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| Authors: | Liu Zhili Xian Kai Wang Fang Chen Jinchuan |
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| Institution: | Liu Zhili1,Xian Kai2,Wang Fang2,Chen Jinchuan2(1.School of Traffic , Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,2.Beijing Transportation Research Center,Beijing 100055) |
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| Abstract: | This paper gives an instance of the traditional calculating method of urban mode split applied in Beijing.Then a new model based on Maximum Entropy Principle(MEP) is developed and its algorithm is presented followed.An example of application of this model is established and with its result,related analysis is conducted.Finally the advantages and future research issues of this model is proposed. |
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| Keywords: | modal split maximum entropy principle travel time |
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