城市轨道交通客流特征及预测相关问题

客流预测是城市轨道交通建设的一个十分重要的环节,是各项设计工作的基础。预测结果的可靠与否直接关系到城市轨道交通的建设投资、运营效率和经济效益。通过对城市轨道交通客流进行分析,阐述了城市轨道交通客流规模影响因素、客流形成机理、客流特征、客流预测方法等。分析了四阶段法各阶段预测所使用模型及方法。

On Characteristics and Prediction of Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow

Because of the enormous cost of urban rail ransit construction,it is difficult to converse or extend the project once a line is completed,so in the planning stage a study of urban rail transit passenger traffic situation is needed.Urban rail transit planning,design,construction and operation involve various aspects of the fundamental basis,in which the transit passenger flow forecast is a very important part,and passenger flow is directly related to urban rail transit investment,to operational efficiency an...