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等里程间隔GM(1,1)模型在关角隧道6号斜井涌水量预测中的应用
引用本文:赖明,刘丹.等里程间隔GM(1,1)模型在关角隧道6号斜井涌水量预测中的应用[J].现代隧道技术,2011,48(5):87-89,96.
作者姓名:赖明  刘丹
作者单位:西南交通大学地球科学与环境工程学院,成都,610031
摘    要:在原始灰色GM(1,1)模型的基础上,通过运用等间距里程序列的分析方法建立模型,并对关角隧道6号斜井的涌水量进行了模拟预测。经检验,预测结果精度较高,对隧道工程涌水量的短期预测具有较大的实用价值。

关 键 词:GM(1  1)模型  隧道  涌水量  预测

Application of Equal Mileage Spacing Model GM(1,1) for Forecasting Water Gush in the No.6 Inclined Shaft of the Guanjiao Tunnel
Lai Ming,Liu Dan.Application of Equal Mileage Spacing Model GM(1,1) for Forecasting Water Gush in the No.6 Inclined Shaft of the Guanjiao Tunnel[J].Modern Tunnelling Technology,2011,48(5):87-89,96.
Authors:Lai Ming  Liu Dan
Institution:Lai Ming Liu Dan(Earth and Environment College,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031)
Abstract:Based on the primitive gray GM(1,1) model,the water gush prediction in the No.6 inclined shaft of the Guanjiao tunnel is simulated by the model established and the equal mileage spacing sequence is analyzed.After examination,it is concluded that the prediction precision is high and that the model is practical for short-term prediction of water gush in tunnels.
Keywords:Model GM(1  1)  Tunnel  Water gush  Prediction  
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