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| 集对分析法在长江干线水上交通安全上的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 田丽娟,张矢宇,蔡爱国. 集对分析法在长江干线水上交通安全上的应用[J]. 船海工程, 2013, 0(3): 199-203 |
| 作者姓名： | 田丽娟 张矢宇 蔡爱国 |
| 作者单位： | [1]武汉理工大学交通学院 [2]长江航运技术行业研发中心水上交通安全与防污染研究基地,武汉430063 [3]泰州中航船舶重工有限公司,江苏泰州225327 |
| 基金项目： | 基金项目：交通运输部交通运输科技项目（201132820190） |
| 摘 要： | 分析长江干线水上交通安全的风险因素，结合长江干线水上交通安全事故特点，建立人-船-环-管系统安全评价指标体系，共计21项指标。应用层次分析法确定指标权重，应用集对分析法（set-pair-analysis，SPA）确定评价标准级并构建长江干线水上交通安全评价模型，进行长江干线水上交通安全状况评价。评价结果可判断现状的危险度并能预测安全状况的发展趋势，为水上交通安全管理决策提供参考。 |
| 关 键 词： | 长江干线 水上交通 集对分析 安全评价 |
Application of the Set-Pair-Analysis in Evaluating the Water Transportation Safety in the Yangtze River |
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| TIAN Li-juan,ZHANG Shi-yu,CAI Ai-guo. Application of the Set-Pair-Analysis in Evaluating the Water Transportation Safety in the Yangtze River[J]. Ship &Ocean Engineering, 2013, 0(3): 199-203 | |
| Authors: | TIAN Li-juan ZHANG Shi-yu CAI Ai-guo |
| Affiliation: | 1. School of Transportation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China; 2. Research and Development Center on Waterborne Transportation Safety and Anti-pollution of Yangtze River Shipping Industry, Wuhan 430063, China;3. Taizhou CATIC Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Ltd. , Taizhou Jiangsu,225327, China) |
| Abstract: | The risk factors affecting the Yangtze river water transportation safety were analyzed. According to the characteristics of water traffic accidents in Yangtze river, the safety evaluation system based on people-ship- environment-management was built, including in 21 indices. The analytic hierarchy process （AHP） aws applied to confirm the weight of each index. The method of set-pair-analysis was used to determine standard level and construct the evaluation model for water transportation safety in Yangtze river. The result of water transportation safety condition in Yangtze river can be achieved, and the evaluated results may judge the risk of present situation and forecast the development trend of the security situation. |
| Keywords: | Yangtze river water transportation set-pair-analysis safety evaluation |
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