| 基于Granger模型的交通投资建设与经济发展的关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张志峰,温惠英,沈毅贤.基于Granger模型的交通投资建设与经济发展的关系研究[J].武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版),2009,33(4):699-702. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张志峰 温惠英 沈毅贤 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广东省公路工程质量监测站,广州,510500
2. 华南理工大学土木与交通学院,广州,510640 |
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| 基金项目： | 罗定市公路交通经济评估及发展战略研究项目资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 交通基础设施建设是交通运输发展的重要支撑和保障.要正确制定交通基础设施建设的投资策略,必须明确交通基础设施建设与经济发展的关系,但目前两者的关系仍缺乏确切论证.在统计分析的基础上,通过采用Granger因果关系检验模型,检验了我国的五种运输方式的交通基础设施建设和经济发展之间的因果关系,得到各交通运输方式的基础设施建设对经济发展的影响程度.
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| 关 键 词： | Granger因果关系模型 交通投资 交通设施建设 经济发展 协整关系检验 |
Granger Causality Analysis on the Economy and Transportation Infrastructure Construction |
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| Zhang Zhifeng,Wen Huiying,Shen Yixian.Granger Causality Analysis on the Economy and Transportation Infrastructure Construction[J].journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering),2009,33(4):699-702. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Zhifeng Wen Huiying Shen Yixian |
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| Institution: | Guangdong Highway Engineering Quality Inspection Station;Guangzhou 510500;School of Civil Engineering and Transportation;South China University of Technology;Guangzhou 510640 |
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| Abstract: | Transportation infrastructure construction supports the transportation system.In order to make the right invest strategy,we must focus on the relationship between transportation infrastructure construction and economy growth.On the basic of statistic,the paper applies Granger causality test to investigate the relationship between the five mode of transportation infrastructure construction and economic growth in China.The result indicates the affect degree between them. |
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| Keywords: | Granger causality test transportation building development of economy co-integration process |
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