| 对我国高速铁路客运量预测的探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 冷俊峰,陆凤山,王美云.对我国高速铁路客运量预测的探讨[J].西南交通大学学报,2001,36(1):88-91. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冷俊峰 陆凤山 王美云 |
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| 作者单位： | 长沙铁道学院经济管理学院, |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了客运量的影响因素、铁路客运在全国客运市场的地位，提出在市场经济条件下高速铁路客运量的预测方法，即先预测整个客运市场的客运量，再根据高速铁路在客运市场的地位和作用确定其客运量。最后给出一个例子对此予以说明。
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| 关 键 词： | 旅客运输 预测 高速铁路 客运量 客运市场 客流密度 客动周转量 时间模型 |
| 文章编号： | 0258-2724（2001）01-0088-04 |
Study on Forecast of the
Passenger Traffic Volume of High-Speed Railways |
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| LENG Jun feng,LU Feng shan,WANG Mei yun.Study on Forecast of the
Passenger Traffic Volume of High-Speed Railways[J].Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University,2001,36(1):88-91. |
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| Authors: | LENG Jun feng LU Feng shan WANG Mei yun |
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| Abstract: | The influ ence factors of passenger traffic volume and the role of railway passenger trans portation in our country are analyzed. A method of forecasti ng the high speed railway passenger traffic volume in the condition of market e conomy is put forward, i.e., to forecast the total traff ic volume first, then to determine the traffic volume of high speed railways according to its role in th e total passenger transportation market. Specifically, a sample is given to illu strate the proposed forecasting method. |
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| Keywords: | passenger traffic prediction high-speed railways |
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