| 基于灰色理论的北京公交客运量的预测和分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙智源,谷远利,白同舟,孙煦.基于灰色理论的北京公交客运量的预测和分析[J].交通标准化,2009(15):80-83. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙智源 谷远利 白同舟 孙煦 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 |
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| 摘 要： | 对公交客运量的预测和分析是非常重要的工作，通过预测和分析方法的简单比选，确定应用灰色理论进行北京公交客运量的分析和预测。根据灰色理论，建立灰色预测模型预测公交客运量，并建立灰色关联模型从供给、需求和竞争三个方面分析公交客运量，是公交客运量预测和分析的实际应用方法之一。
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| 关 键 词： | 北京公交 客运量 灰色理论 灰预测 灰关联 |
Prediction and Analysis for Public Transit Passenger Volume of Beijing Based on Gray Theory |
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| SUN Zhi-yuan,GU Yuan-li,BAI Tong-zhou,SUN Xu.Prediction and Analysis for Public Transit Passenger Volume of Beijing Based on Gray Theory[J].Communications Standardization,2009(15):80-83. |
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| Authors: | SUN Zhi-yuan GU Yuan-li BAI Tong-zhou SUN Xu |
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| Institution: | (School of Traffic ＆ Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China) |
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| Abstract: | The prediction and analysis for public transit passenger volume is very important. The gray theory is chosen to analyze and predict the public transit passenger volume of Beijing city through comparing the methods widely used today. It is a practical applying method for public transit passenger volume prediction and analysis that establishing gray prediction model based on gray theory to predict the public transit passenger volume, and establishing gray association model to analyze public transit passenger volume from three different aspects, namely supply, demand and competitiveness. |
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| Keywords: | Beijing public transit passenger volume gray theory gray prediction gray association |
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