| 高速公路交通量预测失准分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘甜伟.高速公路交通量预测失准分析[J].交通标准化,2011(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘甜伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南交通大学交通运输学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 以沪宁高速公路为研究依据,分析交通预测量与实际交通量的差异,总结失准规律,并从预测方法和模型上找出失准原因,并提出几点建议,这对于更加准确地预测高速公路的交通量,提高预测方法的科学性和合理性,具有重要的作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 高速公路 交通量 预测 失准分析 |
Expressway Traffic Forecast Misalignment Analysis |
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| LIU Tian-wei.Expressway Traffic Forecast Misalignment Analysis[J].Communications Standardization,2011(Z1). |
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| Authors: | LIU Tian-wei |
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| Institution: | LIU Tian-wei(College of Traffic & Transportation,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China) |
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| Abstract: | Taking Shanghai-Nanjing Expressway as instance,it analyzes the difference between predicted value and actual value of traffic,summarizes the law of misalignment,then finds out the causes of misalignment in terms of forecasting method and model.Based on it,some suggestions are proposed,which has important effect on forecasting the traffic of expressway exactly,advancing scientific and reasonable forecasting method. |
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| Keywords: | expressway traffic forecast misalignment analysis |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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