| 北京市出租车乘客需求预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 柳丽娜,陈艳艳,张文阁.北京市出租车乘客需求预测模型研究[J].交通标准化,2010(13):89-92. |
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| 作者姓名： | 柳丽娜 陈艳艳 张文阁 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京工业大学,北京,100022
2. 合肥市规划设计研究院,安徽,合肥,230041 |
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| 摘 要： | 出租车作为一种交通方式在城市交通系统中发挥着重要作用。在北京市区不同路段的全天机动车交通量中,出租车的道路占有率相差很大且空驶率偏高,因此,进行北京市出租车乘客需求预测势在必行。在分析北京市出租车出行特征和规律的基础上,结合以往研究过的出租车交通需求模型的缺陷,根据出租乘客需求量的影响因素提出基于出行广义成本的北京市出租车乘客需求模型,并以朝阳区为例进行研究,使模型的有效性得到了验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 出租车 出行特征 出行广义成本 出租车乘客需求 |
Passenger Demand Forecast Model for Beijing Taxis |
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| LIU Li-na,CHEN Yan-yan,ZHANG Wen-ge.Passenger Demand Forecast Model for Beijing Taxis[J].Communications Standardization,2010(13):89-92. |
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| Authors: | LIU Li-na CHEN Yan-yan ZHANG Wen-ge |
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| Institution: | 1.Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China; 2.Hefei City Planning and Design Institute,Hefei 230041,China) |
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| Abstract: | Taxi,as a kind of transport mode,plays an influential role in the municipal transportation system. In the entire day vehicle traffic volume of urban district road,taxi＇ s road occupying percentages are very different in different region of Beijing City,simultaneously emptyloaded ratio is higher than the normal. Therefore,carrying on Beijing taxi passengers demand forecast is imperative. Based on analyzing Beijing taxi trip＇s characteristics and laws,combining with the flaws of formerly studied taxi demand model,Beijing taxi passenger demand forecast model based on trip generalized cost is proposed according to the influencing factors of taxi passengers demand. Taking Beijing Chaoyang District＇ s taxi passenger demand forecast as the example,the availability of the model is validated. |
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| Keywords: | taxi trip feature trip generalized cost taxi passengers demand |
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