基于可能度的摩托化机动路线选择决策研究

分析了影响摩托化机动路线选择的因素:时效性、安全性和抗断性,指出其中部分因素应用区间数度量,提出运用区间数比较的可能度决策方法进行路线之间的比较,并给出了决策示例。基于可能度的区间数决策理论适用于战时不确定环境下的决策问题。

Probability-based Research into the Choice-making of Motorized Manoeuvre Routes

Timeliness, security and survivability are the three factors affecting the choice of motorized manoeuvre routes. Some of them should be measured by the interval number. The probability-based decision-making method by the interval number is applied to choice of the best route in the paper, with a practical decision-making example given. This method may be used for the decision-making in the uncertain wartime environment.