2009年中国综合交通体系发展趋势研究

结合我国综合交通体系2009年发展情况，分析了金融危机下基础设施发展策略的效果. 通过几个典型国家客货运输量与经济、人口规模和土地等数据间的关系的分析与比较，指出了交通与社会经济等特征间的关联关系及其影响因素，从历史角度提出了交通建设与经济增长关系阶段的划分方法，指出我国交通增长仍存在较大空间. 考虑到我国不同区域间的特征差异性，本文分析了我国东、中、西三大区域6个省区交通与社会和经济指标间的比例关系；结合不同运输方式的技术经济属性，提出了如何充分发挥我国社会主义体制优势来编制不同区域综合交通发展规划的基本思路.

Trend Analysis of 2009 Integrated Transport Systems of China

With the statistics of transport system development in 2009, the paper analyzes the impacts of global financial crisis on infrastructural construction. By comparing with several typical countries on their traffic volumes, economic data and also populations, the authors demonstrate the relationships among transportation and social economic indicators, and further advance a definition of the stages of transport and economic development process. It also points out that there is still big space for the construction of transport infrastructure in developing country as China. Considering the differences on regional characteristics in developmental environment, the authors systematically compare several indicators on transport and economic of six typical Provinces located in different parts of China. Based on the technical and economic characteristics of different transport modes, it gives four suggestions on how to work out the integrated transport plan under the socialist country such as China.