| 效用函数在工程成本风险预测中的构建 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄显贵.效用函数在工程成本风险预测中的构建[J].重庆交通学院学报,2007,26(5):122-124. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄显贵 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆交通大学土木建筑学院 重庆400074 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析风险预测准确程度进行评价的意义,提出了将风险可预测性作为风险预测准确程度的评价指标,并以效应理论为基础构造风险可预测性效用函数,实现了风险预测结果的评价,验证了风险预测的准确性和可靠性.
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| 关 键 词： | 成本风险 可预测性 效用函数 计算分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1674-0696（2007）05-0122-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-02-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-20 |
Construction of Efficacy Function in Engineering Cost Risk Estimation |
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| HUANG Xian-gui.Construction of Efficacy Function in Engineering Cost Risk Estimation[J].Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University,2007,26(5):122-124. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Xian-gui |
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| Abstract: | The meaning of evaluating the accurate degree of risk estimation is analyzed.The author puts forward that the risk predictability should be regarded as an index to measure the degree of accuracy of predicting risk and the effect theories should taken as the foundation to construct the effect function of risk.The predictive result is evaluated too,which verifies the accuracy and the credibility of the risk estimate. |
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| Keywords: | cost risk predictability efficacy function computation and analysis |
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