基于前景理论诱导信息的出行者路径选择模型

在前景理论的决策框架下,引入诱导因素,建立诱导信息影响下考虑出行可靠性的基于预算时间的参考点,以此得到相关的价值函数与概率权重函数。构建一个简单路网对模型进行验证,结果表明:基于前景理论诱导信息的出行者路径选择模型,较为符合出行者在实际状态下的路径选择行为,且可有效体现管理者的诱导意图,提高路网效率。

Route Choice Model under Guidance Information Based on Prospect Theory

This paper takes the influence of the guidance information posted by managers to the of traveler route choice behaviors into consideration under the decision-making framework of the prospect theory. Reference point is established by introducing the guidance factors, under the influence of guidance information considering the reliability of travel time based on the budgetary travel time. And based on this reference point, get the related value function and probability weighting function. Finally constructing a simple network, to verify this model. The results show that the induction information based on prospect theory under the condition of traveler route choice model is more conform to the traveler route choice behavior under actual status, and can better reflect the guidance intentions of managers, improve the efficiency of road network.