| 公路货运量预测的系统动力学模型构建 |
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| 引用本文： | 许银甲.公路货运量预测的系统动力学模型构建[J].交通科技与经济,2007,9(6):95-97. |
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| 作者姓名： | 许银甲 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉理工大学,交通学院,湖北,武汉,430063 |
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| 摘 要： | 用系统工程的观点对公路货运系统进行了综合、动态的分析,在具体分析公路货物运输系统主要影响因素的基础上,分别构建了道路运输需求及供给的子系统动力学模型,该模型可以通过计算机进行模拟,进行公路货运量的预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统工程 系统动力学 道路货物运输 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-5696（2007）06-0095-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-08-10 |
Prediction model of road freight volume based on system dynamics |
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| XU Yin-jia.Prediction model of road freight volume based on system dynamics[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2007,9(6):95-97. |
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| Authors: | XU Yin-jia |
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| Institution: | School of Transportation, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, china |
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| Abstract: | It makeS a comprehensive and dynamic analysis of the road freight transportation system.Considering the major factors of road freight transport, and using the method of system dynamics based on system analysis,it establishes system model-equations of road-freight-transport-demand system and road-freight-transport-supply system,which can be simulated by computer predicting the road freight transportation. |
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| Keywords: | system engineering system dynamics road fright transport prediction model |
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