| 京津城际高速铁路对区域社会经济影响分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张安琳,蒲泽旭,王敏,曾俊伟.京津城际高速铁路对区域社会经济影响分析[J].交通科技与经济,2013,15(1):14-18. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张安琳 蒲泽旭 王敏 曾俊伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州,730070 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金青年资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于运输经济学和区域经济学的相关理论，运用有无对比法，通过建立多元线性回归及灰色预测数学模型，从直接影响和间接影响两方面对京津城际高速铁路对区域经济的影响机理进行定量分析，结果表明京津城际铁路不仅对拉动京津铁路客运市场，缓解货运压力，提高铁路货运线路运输能力具有积极作用，而且对京津地区的经济发展有积极作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 区域经济 京津城际高速铁路 灰预测 影响 |
The impacts of Beijing-Tianjin intercity high-speed railway on regional social and economic development |
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| ZHANG An-lin
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PU Ze-xu
,
WANG Min
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ZENG Jun-wei.The impacts of Beijing-Tianjin intercity high-speed railway on regional social and economic development[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2013,15(1):14-18. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG An-lin PU Ze-xu WANG Min ZENG Jun-wei |
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| Institution: | (School of Traffic and Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the transport economics and regional economics theory, adopting the ＂with and without comparison method＂, a multiple linear regression and grey prediction mathematical model is established, and the influential mechanism of the Beijing-Tianjin intercity high-speed railway on regional economy from direct and indirect effects is provided. It shows that the Beijing-Tianjin intercity high-speed railway has positive effects on boosting the passenger transport market, relieving transport pressure, improving the transport capacity of rail freight line, moreover, on developing the Beijing-Tianjin regional economy. |
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| Keywords: | regional economy Beijing-Tianjin intercity high-speed railway grey prediction influence |
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