| 基于 BL 模型的居民小汽车出行行为研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 武文,帅斌,殷焕焕,武平.基于 BL 模型的居民小汽车出行行为研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2012(3):71-75. |
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| 作者姓名： | 武文 帅斌 殷焕焕 武平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西南交通大学,交通运输与物流学院,成都 610031
2. 北京工业大学,交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京 100124 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文采用离散选择模型,对采集到的4071份调查问卷所得到的居民出行情况进行分析,建立了BL 模型,定量分析影响小汽车出行行为的影响因素.分析结果表明:家庭月收入、出行距离和是否拥有驾照对小汽车出行的影响最大,出行费用、出行时间等因素对是否选择小汽车出行也有显著影响,而年龄、出行目的等因素则对是否选择小汽车出行的影响不显著.随后,对小汽车出行概率影响显著的因素做了敏感性分析,模型检验的结果说明该模型具有较好的精度.
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| 关 键 词： | 小汽车出行 Binary Logit 出行行为 |
Study of Travel Behavior by Car Based on BL Model |
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| WU Wen SHUAI Bin YIN Huan-huan,WU Ping.Study of Travel Behavior by Car Based on BL Model[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2012(3):71-75. |
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| Authors: | WU Wen SHUAI Bin YIN Huan-huan WU Ping |
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| Institution: | 1. College of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China 2. Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China |
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| Abstract: | According to the 4071 interviews about whether citizens travel by car, a binary logit model was constructed. The analysis result showed distance were the most critical factors for whether tr that avell the family income and travel in income, whether having a car license and the travel time greatly g im by car. Besides, family pact the travel behavior,while age and travel purpose are not significant to sensitivity analysis of the key explanatory variables to the test results. the was mode choice. In addition, conducted. The model well the fits |
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| Keywords: | Travelling by car binary logit travel behavior |
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