| 城市轨道交通公共自行车换乘需求预测方法研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 吴志周,范宇杰,陶佳,张剑桥.城市轨道交通公共自行车换乘需求预测方法研究[J].武汉水运工程学院学报,2013(5):919-923. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 吴志周 范宇杰 陶佳 张剑桥 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室,上海201804 [2]上海市城市建设设计研究总院,上海200125 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为预测城市轨道交通站的公共自行车换乘需求,在问卷调查分析的基础上,对公共自行车换乘需求的影响因素进行研究.以非集计模型为基础,构建了二元Logit公共自行车换乘选择模型,模型命中率达到85.6％.选取上海轨交11号线汽车城站作为案例,对预测方法及模型的可靠性进行了验证.
|
| 关 键 词： | 城市轨道交通 公共自行车 二元Logit模型 |
Bike-and-Ride Demand Forecasting in Urban Rail Transit Station |
| |
| Authors: | WU Zhizhou FAN Yujie TAO Jia ZHANG Jianqiao |
| |
| Institution: | 1.Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering in the Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China; 2.Shanghai Urban Construction Design and Research Institute, Shanghai 200125, China;) |
| |
| Abstract: | For predicting the demand of public bicycles of the rail transit station accurately,the influencing factors of demand of public bicycles are analyzed with questionnaire data,and then a binary logit model of public bicycles is established.The hit rate of the model is 85.6％.Finally,the station of Shanghai International Automobile City of Line 11 is selected as the test case,the feasibility of the forecasting method and the model accuracy is proved.The research could be the references for site selection and capacity analysis of public bicycles system. |
| |
| Keywords: | urban rail transit public bicycles the binary logit model |
| 本文献已被 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
