基于土地利用的出租车停靠规模预测模型研究

从出租车客流的出行特征出发,指出当前出租车停靠规模预测方法的不足之处.根据交通出行需求与土地利用之间的关系,并考虑位势因子、居民出行和出租车运行特征等因素,建立基于土地利用的出租车停靠规模预测模型,并以深圳市宝安区为例,提出了预测模型的算法.实践结果表明,预测模型能较好地体现用地与出租车停靠需求的关系,客观反映出租车停靠站的的实际发展要求.

Forecastion Model of the Scale of Taxi Stands Based on Land Use

The deficiency of the current method of forecasting the scale of taxi stands is pointed out from the point of the view of the taxi passenger trip charactersitics.According to the relationship between taxi stands demand and land use,and considering the location potential,trip characteristics,taxi operating characteristic etc.,the forecation model of the scale of taxi stands based on land use is built.And then,taking Bao＇an in Shenzhen as the example,the algorithm of forecastion model is proposed.Practice result shows that the forecastion model can objectively reflect the relationship between land use and taxi stands demand and the actual development demand of taxi stands,and the model is scientific,rational and feasible.