| 基于前景理论的驾驶人停车选择模型 |
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| 作者姓名： | 谢秉磊 王志利 赵泽斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 哈尔滨工业大学深圳研究生院,广东深圳,518055
2. 哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨,150001 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(71173061;70903018) |
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| 摘 要： | 考虑到期望效用理论的缺陷及驾驶人的有限理性,利用前景理论,建立了停车选择决策模型.通过对调查数据的回归分析,确定了停车影响因素的参照点,建立了价值函数及决策权重函数,得到了单因素的前景值.利用模糊偏好下多目标决策权重赋值方法,确定了影响因素的权重,从而建立了驾驶人的停车选择模型.
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| 关 键 词： | 停车选择 参照点 前景理论 模糊偏好 |
Parking choice model based on the prospect theory |
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| Authors: | XIE Bing-lei WANG Zhi-li ZHAO Ze-bin |
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| Institution: | 1.Shenzhen Graduate School,Harbin Institute of Technology,Shenzhen 518055,China; 2.School of Management,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China) |
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| Abstract: | In terms of defects of expected utility theory and drivers’ bounded rationality,prospect theory was used to establish a new parking choice model.Based on survey data,the reference points of factors to influence parking choice were estimated with regression analysis.The value function and weight functions of decision-making for single factor were established so that the prospect value of every factor could be acquired.The multi-objective decision-making under fuzzy preference weight assignment method was used to assign the weight of every factor to obtain the overall values of options. |
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| Keywords: | parking choice reference point prospect theory fuzzy preference |
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