风险分析计算机模拟方法论

本文给出并阐述面向投资风险分析的计算机模拟新方法。在定义风险模拟基本模型的基础上，重点对讨论对传统投资风险分析模型的修正与扩充 风险分析判据的模拟估计方法，不同投资方案的模拟比较方法以及投资风险分析的计算机图形描绘与动画模拟。本文所述方法更能接纳和描术投资风险分析产生了不确定性影响的各种随机因素，对风险的估计和推断更为细致和准确。

A New Methodology of Risk Analysis Using Computer Simulation

A new methodology of risk analysis using computer simulation is proposed and discussed systematically in this peper.Based on the definition of model structure for risk simulation,the paper stresses the study of the improvements on traditional risk analysis model,the estimation of output results from risk simulation,the comparison of different alternatives,and risk simulation with graphics and animation,The methodology is more effective in estimating and evaluating risk,and makes risk analysis more compatible with the uncertainty of real world.