| 隧道涌水灾害预测的随机性数学模型方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 郑黎明.隧道涌水灾害预测的随机性数学模型方法[J].西南交通大学学报,1998,33(3):273-278. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郑黎明 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南交通大学土木工程学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据灰色理论、数量化理论和虚拟变量多元回归方法，提出了一套以隧道水文地质条件为变量，以涌水等级、涌水量为预测指标的随机性数学模型方法。用该方法对３５座隧道进行判别，准确率为７５％，该方法既能定量，又简便易学，适用于Ａ级或Ｂ级涌水灾害的预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 隧道 涌水灾害 预测模式 随机性 数学模型 |
A Stochastic Mathematic Method for Predicting Gushing Water from Tunnel Surrounding Rockmasses |
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| Zheng,Liming.A Stochastic Mathematic Method for Predicting Gushing Water from Tunnel Surrounding Rockmasses[J].Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University,1998,33(3):273-278. |
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| Authors: | Zheng Liming |
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| Abstract: | Based on the grey theory,the theory of quantification and method of regressive analysis for fictitious multi variables, a stochastic mathematic method is presented for predicting gushing,in which the tunnel hydrogeological conditions are used as variables and the volume of the grade of gushing water as the predicting index.The new method is used to predict the gushing water for 35 existing tunnels,and the accuracy is about 75%.This method is quantitative and simple for practical applications. |
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| Keywords: | tunnel gush of water mathematic methods predicting model |
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