| 基于灰色模型的成都双流机场物流预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 林小平,袁捷.基于灰色模型的成都双流机场物流预测[J].武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版),2007,31(3):457-459. |
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| 作者姓名： | 林小平 袁捷 |
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| 作者单位： | 同济大学道路与交通工程教育都重点实验室上海200092 |
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| 基金项目： | 交通部西部交通建设科技项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 准确进行机场物流预测是机场规划的重要前提.但从目前机场物流的预测现状看,许多机场都存在预测值高于实际值的情况.文中在分析现有机场物流预测模型不足的基础上,利用灰色系统理论,建立了成都双流机场货、邮吞吐量的预测模型.通过实际数据与预测结果的比较,证明灰色模型对于双流机场货、邮吞吐量的预测具备可行性,同时具有较高的精度.
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| 关 键 词： | 双流机场 灰色系统理论 物流 预测 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-13 |
Forecast of Logistics of Chengdu Shuangliu Airport Based on Gray-Model |
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| Lin Xiaoping,Yuan Jie.Forecast of Logistics of Chengdu Shuangliu Airport Based on Gray-Model[J].journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering),2007,31(3):457-459. |
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| Authors: | Lin Xiaoping Yuan Jie |
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| Institution: | Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education , Tongji University ,Shanghai 200092 |
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| Abstract: | Accurate prediction of airport logistics is the basis for the layout of airport,while the values of prediction is always higher than the actual ones.On the basis of analyzing the deficiency of airport logistics prediction with the existing method,by using gray-system theory,a model is established to predicate throughput of Shuangliu airport.With a comparison of the actual data to the result of prediction,it is proved that using gray system theory to predict passenger throughput of Shuangliu airport is workable,with rather high precision. |
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| Keywords: | Shuangliu airport gray-system theory logistics forecast |
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