山东省交通运输业与经济增长的实证分析

利用计量理论，以山东省为例对反映交通运输状况和地区经济指标的数据进行了实证分析。结果表明，山东省交通状况与经济增长之间存在着长期稳定关系，货运量是地区GDP的Granger原因，交通运输对经济增长的作用正在增加。最后，根据检验结果提出了相应的政策建议，以使交通运输业更好地为经济发展服务。

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Transportation Industry and Economic Growth of Shandong Province

Based on the theory of econometric analysis, this paper tests the co- integration and Granger causal relationship between transportation and regional economy, taking Shandong Province as an example. The test results show that the correlation is positive, transportation growth is the Granger causality of economic growth and the effect of transportation on economic growth has become greater and greater. So, the paper concludes that adjusting the transportation structure and strengthening the policy regulation are important for transportation industry to better serve regional economic development.