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鲁棒交通网络设计方法
引用本文:卞长志,关敬辉,陆化普.鲁棒交通网络设计方法[J].城市交通,2011,9(6):50-55.
作者姓名:卞长志  关敬辉  陆化普
作者单位:1. 中国城市规划设计研究院,北京,100037
2. 东莞市地理信息与规划编制研究中心,广东东莞,523129
3. 清华大学交通研究所,北京,100084
摘    要:为了更好地指导交通规划实践、提高规划方案应对风险的能力,在分析交通需求预测不确定性的基础上引入鲁棒设计概念,阐述了交通需求预测与鲁棒规划方案的关系.采用随机需求假定,以随机规划理论和均值-方差模型为基础,建立OD需求不确定的鲁棒交通网络设计模型;以蒙特卡洛模拟和遗传算法为工具,设计求解随机双层组合优化问题的实用算法.最...

关 键 词:交通规划  需求不确定性  鲁棒交通网络设计  双层规划  遗传算法

Robust Transportation Network Design under Demand Uncertainty
BIAN Chang-zhi,GUAN Jing-hui,LU Hua-pu.Robust Transportation Network Design under Demand Uncertainty[J].Urban Transport of China,2011,9(6):50-55.
Authors:BIAN Chang-zhi  GUAN Jing-hui  LU Hua-pu
Institution:BIAN Chang-zhi1,GUAN Jing-hui2,LU Hua-pu3(1.China Academy of Urban Planning and Design,Beijing 100037,China,2.Dongguan Research Center of GIS & UrbanPlanning,Dongguan Guangdong 523129,3.Institute of Transportation Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing100084,China)
Abstract:To better guide transport planning practice and improve the planning reliability against risks,this paper analyzes the uncertainty existed in traffic demand forecast,and then describes the relationship between demand forecasting and reliable transportation planning based on the robust design concept.The OD trip matrices are taken as random variables with a known probability distribution,and a robust network design model under stochastic demand is developed using sto-chastic programming theory and means-vari...
Keywords:transportation planning  demand uncertainty  robust transportation network design  bilevel programming  genetic algorithm  
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