土地利用对轨道交通车站客流量的影响

轨道交通车站日均上下客流量与周边土地利用存在密切关系,研究这一关系可为国内大城市轨道交通车站客流预测结果的合理性提供参考。以东京核心四区31个轨道交通车站为研究重点,详细统计了各车站的日均上下客流量以及车站影响范围内的容积率、人口、岗位等基础数据,探讨城市轨道交通车站日均上下客流量与相关指标的定性和定量关系。得到轨道交通车站影响范围内建筑容积率≤2.3,2.3〈容积率〈4.0,容积率≥4.0三种情况下,单位潜在客流、单位建筑面积分别产生的日均上下客流量的指标值,并指出大型商场等消费娱乐设施对日均上下客流量具有显著影响。结合两项相关案例,证明了研究结果具有很好的一致性。

The Impact of Land Use on Demand of Urban Rail Transit

There is a close relationship between average daily passenger loading / unloading volumes and the surrounding land use development at each urban rail transit stop.Therefore,studying the relationship is important in demand forecasting for urban rail transit systems in China.Focusing on the 31 rail transit stops within four CBDs in Tokyo,this paper uses the statistics of the passenger loading/unloading volumes,size of the surrounding land use development areas,population and employments at each stop to investigate the qualitative relationships between passenger loading/ unloading volumes and the intensity of land use development.The paper presents the potential traffic and daily average passengers’loading/unloading demand per land use development unit under three rates of construction levels within the transit stop’s influential area （less than 2.3,between 2.3 and 4.0,bigger than 4.0）,and particularly stresses the significant impact of large commercial land use development on the demand for rail services.The consistent results from the two case studies cited in the paper validate the research findings.