| 萧甬铁路客货运量预测及SWOT分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘建国,王华军.萧甬铁路客货运量预测及SWOT分析[J].兰州铁道学院学报,2007,26(4):17-20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘建国 王华军 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉铁路职业技术学院 湖北武汉430205(刘建国)，萧甬铁路有限责任公司 浙江宁波315000(王华军) |
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| 摘 要： | 铁路客货运量预测能为政策制定及运输发展规划的编制提供科学依据.以萧甬铁路为背景,在对客货运输经营现状深入分析的基础上,采用经济指标预测法、时间序列预测法等对2010年和2015年客货运量进行了预测.在综合考虑客货经营现状和客货运量预测的基础上,对萧甬铁路客货运输进行了优势、劣势、机会和威胁分析.
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| 关 键 词： | 萧甬铁路 客运量 货运量 预测方法 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-4373（2007）04-0017-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-04-15 |
Passengers and Goods Transportation Volume Forecast and SWOT Analysis of Xiaoyong Railway |
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| Liu Jianguo,Wang Huajun.Passengers and Goods Transportation Volume Forecast and SWOT Analysis of Xiaoyong Railway[J].Journal of Lanzhou Railway University,2007,26(4):17-20. |
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| Authors: | Liu Jianguo Wang Huajun |
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| Institution: | 1. Wuhan Railway Vocational College of Technology,Wuhan 430205 ,China; 2. Xiaoyong Railway Limited Company, Ningbo 315000,China |
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| Abstract: | The railway passengers and goods transportation volume forecast can offer scientific basis for the establishment of policy and the making of transportation development plan.The paper takes Xiaoyong railway as the background,and analyses the current situation of the passengers and goods transportation.Economic indicator and time series trend projection forecast are adopted to predict the passengers and goods transportation volume in 2010 and 2015.On the basis of considering the current situation and the passengers and goods transportation volume forecast synthetically,the strength,weakness,opportunity and threats of Xiaoyong railway are analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | Xiaoyong railway volume of passenger traffic goods traffic volume forecast method |
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