| 基于灰色理论的矿区地表沉降预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 夏青青,安鹏宇,贺跃光,吴盛才.基于灰色理论的矿区地表沉降预测[J].长沙交通学院学报,2010,26(3):52-55. |
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| 作者姓名： | 夏青青 安鹏宇 贺跃光 吴盛才 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中隧建业路桥工程有限公司,北京,100097
2. 长沙理工大学,交通运输学院,湖南,长沙,4100004 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于灰色理论,以某钻井水溶法开采矿区为例,建立原始监测数据的灰色GM（1,1）预测模型,通过后验差和小误差概率的模型精度评价,表明预测精度为一级,预测值与实测值吻合较好,证实了灰色GM（1,1）模型应用于地表沉降预测中的可行性和可靠性.
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 矿山安全 GM（1 1）模型 地表沉降 |
Subsidence prediction of mining area based on the grey theory |
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| XIA Qing-qing,AN Peng-yu,HE Yue-guang,WU Sheng-cai.Subsidence prediction of mining area based on the grey theory[J].Journal of Changsha Communications University,2010,26(3):52-55. |
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| Authors: | XIA Qing-qing AN Peng-yu HE Yue-guang WU Sheng-cai |
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| Institution: | XIA Qing-qing1,AN Peng-yu1,HE Yue-guang2,WU Sheng-cai2(1.Zhongsui Jianye Road & Bridge Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100097,China,2.TransportationEngineering College,Changsha University of Science & Technology,Changsha 410004,China) |
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| Abstract: | Grey prediction can master the developing law of system by dealing with incomplete information system at present.Set a certain drilling solution mining as an example,the GM(1,1) model is built,which is based on the original monitoring data.Error checking,such as posterior error and small error probability,has proved that the forecast accuracy is first class,and the predictions are similar with the field data.To some extend,all of these results demonstrate the feasibility and reliability of grey theory when ... |
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| Keywords: | grey theory safety in mines GM(1 1) model surface subsidence |
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