轨道交通规划中诱增交通量的若干问题

综述了国内外交通规划中交通流量预测的研究成果及应用,介绍了有关诱增交通量的研究现状。指出在城市轨道交通客流量预测环节中,关于诱增交通量的研究还存在诸如诱增交通量的界定、影响轨道交通诱增交通量的相关因素、诱增交通量预测模型以及轨道交通运营期的诱增交通量等需要解决的问题。

Problems on Induced Demand in Rail Transport Planning

With an introduction to the forecasting method of transport volume in world transportation planning and the research about the induced transport demand, this paper argues that the key issues of in passenger demand forecasting of the rail transit shall be based on the induced demand forecasting, the quantitative analysis the influence factors, and the forecasting model for the operation of the rail transit.