| 高速铁路转移客流量计算模型与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王慧晶.高速铁路转移客流量计算模型与应用[J].铁道科学与工程学报,2012,9(4):123-128. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王慧晶 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南铁路科技职业技术学院运输管理系,湖南株洲,412000 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71071165);广州铁路(集团)公司科技开发项目(2011K47);湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(12C1148) |
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| 摘 要： | 高速铁路开通初期,合理估计客流量是科学制定动车组开行计划的基础.相对规划设计期的客流预测,运营期的客流分析与预测要求的精度更高.基于Logit模型,构建了高速铁路转移客流量的计算模型和计算方法,并以武广高速铁路为例,应用该方法计算了航空、公路、铁路既有线的相应客流转移量.运营结果表明:利用该模型与方法所得客流量与实际客...
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| 关 键 词： | 转移客流量 计算模型 武广高速铁路 |
The counting model of passenger transferring and its application on high-speed railway |
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| WANG Hui-jing.The counting model of passenger transferring and its application on high-speed railway[J].Journal of Railway Science and Engineering,2012,9(4):123-128. |
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| Authors: | WANG Hui-jing |
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| Institution: | WANG Hui-jing(Transportation Management Department,Hunan Railway College of Science & Technology,Zhuzhou 412000,China) |
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| Abstract: | In the beginning of the high-speed railway operation,reasonable estimate of traffic is the basis of making EMU starting plan scientifically.The analysis and forecast of the passenger in operation was required to be more accurate than that in planning period.Through modifying the MNL of Logit model,the counting model and method of transferring passenger in high-speed railway were set up.Taking Wuhan—Guangzhou High-speed railway as an example,using this model to count the amount of passenger in aviation,highway and railway,the operation result verifies the calaulation of MNL of Logit model. |
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| Keywords: | transfer traffic counting model Wuhan—Guangzhou high-speed railway |
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