| 运输需求预测计算机辅助系统研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈绍宽,毛保华,丁勇,褚琴.运输需求预测计算机辅助系统研究[J].铁道学报,2004,26(6):1-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈绍宽 毛保华 丁勇 褚琴 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京交通大学,交通运输智能技术与系统实验室,北京,100044 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70173014);铁道部软科学研究计划项目(2002F007);北京交通大学交通运输智能技术与系统教育部重点实验室开放项目(2003-02) |
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| 摘 要： | 在改进传统四阶段预测方法的基础上,设计预测系统的总体结构和流程,介绍供需平衡调整方法,着重阐述系统在多方式运输网络拓扑结构描述方法、广义费用的构成和路径选择模型的改进3方面的工作,并开发了相应的计算机软件系统。在含拟建京沪客运专线在内的多方式运输网的基础上建立研究案例,采用"有无项目"对比的方法,使用所开发的软件系统分析了对比方案中京沪沿线相关区域运输需求的变化。
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| 关 键 词： | 运输需求预测 多方式运输网 四阶段预测方法 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8360(2004)06-0001-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年3月15日 |
A Computer Aided System for Transportation Demand Prediction |
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| CHEN Shao-kuan,MAO Bao-hua,DING Yong,CHU Qin and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing ,China.A Computer Aided System for Transportation Demand Prediction[J].Journal of the China railway Society,2004,26(6):1-7. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Shao-kuan MAO Bao-hua DING Yong CHU Qin and Transportation Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing China |
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| Institution: | CHEN Shao-kuan,MAO Bao-hua,DING Yong,CHU Qin and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper proposes a demand prediction system considering multimodal transportation, designs the computational software through improving the conventional four-step planning method and presents the method of balancing between transportation supply and demand. This paper also emphasizes particularly the topology design of multi-modal transportation, the structure of generalized costs, the route choice model and the development of the software system. This paper eventually analyzes the transportation demand variations of the regions along the Jing-Hu Railway based on the multimodal transport network through the with/without project method using the software system developed by the authors. |
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| Keywords: | transportation demand prediction multimodal transport network four-step planning method |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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