| 城市群双线客流分布预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 管菊香 朱顺应,李安勋.城市群双线客流分布预测方法研究[J].都市快轨交通,2007,20(3):8--11，16. |
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| 作者姓名： | 管菊香 朱顺应 李安勋 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉理工大学,武汉,430063 |
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| 摘 要： | 鉴于城市群客流预测在城市群轨道交通规划中的重要性,为提高其预测精度,对城市群客流预测中的分布预测方法进行研究.分析现实能够收集到的资料及城市群交通分布的特点,提出城市群双线分布预测方法.在城市群资料有限的情况下,研究如何得到城市群分布的预测结果;阐述分布预测的计算方法,建立相关的计算模型,对几种常用的分布预测模型进行优缺点及适用性分析.
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| 关 键 词： | 城市群 轨道交通 分布预测 双线预测 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-212007-01-24 |
Predicting Passenger Flow in Urban Agglomeration by Two-way Trip Distribution Method |
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| Guan Juxiang,Zhu Shunying,Li Anxun.Predicting Passenger Flow in Urban Agglomeration by Two-way Trip Distribution Method[J].Urban Rapid Rail Transit,2007,20(3):8--11，16. |
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| Authors: | Guan Juxiang Zhu Shunying Li Anxun |
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| Institution: | Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063 |
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| Abstract: | Considering the importance of passenger flow prediction in urban agglomeration's transportation planning and in order to enhance the accuracy of prediction,this article studied a trip distribution method for the passenger flow prediction and analyzed the information available and the characteristics of trip distribution in urban agglomeration.Proposing a two-way trip distribution prediction method,it studied how to obtain the results of the trip distribution prediction by utilizing the limited information,elaborated the computational method and established a computation model.The paper finally analyzes the virtues and defects and the applicability of several commonly used distribution prediction models. |
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| Keywords: | urban agglomeration rail transit distribution prediction limited information two-way prediction |
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