| 城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期风险评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴守荣,王程程,阎祥东.城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期风险评估研究[J].都市快轨交通,2016(5):36--40. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴守荣 王程程 阎祥东 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东科技大学土木工程与建筑学院 山东青岛266590 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用层次分析法和系统动力学法,对城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期风险因素进行识别,建立风险系统流图;在层次分析法和熵值法确定风险因素权重的基础上,运用Vensim PLE软件评估项目的总体风险水平,得出城市轨道交通PPP项目运营期风险SD模型仿真结果.
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| 关 键 词： | 轨道交通 PPP项目 系统动力学 风险评估 系统流图 Vensim PLE软件 SD模型 |
| 修稿时间： | 2016/11/10 0:00:00 |
Research On Risk Level Assessment of urban rail transit PPP Project |
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| WU Shourong,WANG Chengcheng,YAN Xiangdong.Research On Risk Level Assessment of urban rail transit PPP Project[J].Urban Rapid Rail Transit,2016(5):36--40. |
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| Authors: | WU Shourong WANG Chengcheng YAN Xiangdong |
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| Abstract: | This paper identifies risk elements of urban rail transit PPP project in operation period and sets up risk system flow diagram with adoption of analytic hierarchy process and system dynamics; It valuats the overall risk level of the project with Vensim PLE on the basis of confirming the weight of risks with analytic hierarchy process and entropy method and then finds out risk SD model simulation results of rail transit during operation period. |
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| Keywords: | rail transit PPP project system dynamics risk level assessment system flow diagram Vensim PLE SD model |
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