Stockholm congestion charging: an assessment with METROPOLIS and SILVESTER |
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Authors: | Mohammad Saifuzzaman Leonid Engelson Ida Kristoffersson André de Palma |
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Institution: | 1. School of Civil Engineering and Built Environment, Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Brisbane, Australia;2. Division for Transport Planning, Economics and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden;3. Division of Traffic Analysis, Sweco Transport Systems, Stockholm, Sweden;4. Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, Cachan, France;5. CECO Laboratory of Econometrics, Ecole Polytechnique, Palaiseau, France |
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Abstract: | This paper reviews and compares the performance of two dynamic transportation models – METROPOLIS and SILVESTER – which are used to predict the impacts of congestion charging for Stockholm. Both are mesoscopic dynamic models treating accumulation and dissipation of traffic queues, route choice, modal split and departure time choice. The models are calibrated independently for the baseline situation without charges and applied to forecast the effects of congestion charging. The results obtained from the two models are mutually compared and validated against the actual outcome of the Stockholm congestion charging scheme. Both models successfully predict the outcomes of the congestion charging trial at both aggregate and disaggregate levels. Results of welfare analysis, however, differ substantially due to differences in model specification. |
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Keywords: | Congestion charging transportation models dynamic traffic assignment departure time mesoscopic models departure time choice METROPOLIS SILVESTER Stockholm |
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