Estimating economic and resilience consequences of potential navigation infrastructure failures: A case study of the Monongahela River |
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| Institution: | 1. Departament d''Enginyeria Informàtica i Matemàtiques, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, 43007 Tarragona, Spain;2. Department of Computing and Communication Technologies, Oxford Brookes University, OX33 1HX Oxford, UK;3. Transport Studies Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK;1. Department of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Royal Military College of Canada, 13 General Crerar Crescent, Kingston, ON K7K 7B4, Canada;2. School of Environmental Studies, Biosciences Complex, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada;3. Infrastructure and Environment Operations, WorleyParsons Canada, Suite 500, 151 Canada Olympic Road SW, Canada Olympic Park, Calgary, AB T3B 6B7, Canada;1. ETH Zurich, Institute of Cartography and Geoinformation, Switzerland;2. ETH Zurich, Institute of Construction and Infrastructure Management, Switzerland;1. Tallinn University of Technology, Ehitajate tee 5, Tallinn 19086, Estonia;2. Tampere University of Technology, P.O. Box 600 FI-33101 Tampere, Finland |
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| Abstract: | The paper examines the potential effects of failure of heavily used, outdated locks and dams on the Monongahela River in southwestern Pennsylvania. Catastrophic failure would result in lengthy outage of barge traffic. The displaced volume of coal shipments from mines to power plants is estimated using Energy Information Administration survey data. The resilience of the impacted facilities, the viability of their shipping alternatives, and their ability to re-organize into new markets is assessed. Lost revenues are estimated for facilities that close due to an inability to adapt, as well as the replacement cost of towboats and barges trapped by a catastrophic and sudden failure. The aggregate costs to these facilities as a result of a year-long closure are estimated at $0.56-1.7 billion. |
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| Keywords: | Inland waterway Infrastructure failure Coal shipment Vulnerability assessment Network resilience |
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